Synopsis: If you have rotated through the trauma bay, you have certainly heard and likely even used a variation of the Seuss-inspired phrase “GCS 8, intubate”. This dogma is supported by both ATLS as well as the Eastern Association for the Surgery of Trauma practice management guidelines. In this presented study, Dr. Hatchimonji and his colleagues asked a beautifully simple question – does a GCS of 8 really require intubation? In other words, do patients who are recommended to undergo intubation actually do better than those that do not. Using the 2016 National Trauma Data Bank, they examined outcomes of 6676 patients presenting to trauma centers across the United States with a GCS of 6 to 8.
Overall, intubation was associated with an increased odds of mortality (1.05, p < 0.001). This odds ratio was stable across multiple subsets and sensitivity analyses. Both ICU and overall length of stay were significantly increased in the intubated group versus the non-intubated group.
One of the strengths of this study is the rigorous statistical methods utilized. The treatment in question, intubation, is dependent on factors which also contribute to the primary outcome, mortality. While logistic and linear regression requires one to correctly model the outcome variable as a function of both the treatment variable as well as all covariates (usually a tall task, especially with multiple covariates that likely have differing effects on different populations of study), methods utilizing propensity scores only require correctly modeling the effect of covariates on just the treatment variable. This particular study utilized inverse probability weight regression adjustment, which uses propensity scoring to weight all the individuals of a study corresponding to their likelihood of receiving the treatment. This is an extension of traditional propensity matching, where “treated” and “untreated” patients are matched based on their propensity for receiving the treatment, creating a poor man’s randomized control trial where covariates are not different between the two treatment groups of a retrospective observational study (similar to the typical “Table 1” of a randomized control trial).
In addition to the statistical methods, the authors perform several subgroup and sensitivity analyses, all producing similar results with regards to their primary outcome of mortality. Comparisons were performed on the entire cohort, the cohort minus those who proceeded directly to the operating room, only head injured patients, only non-head injured patients, intoxicated patients, and non-intoxicated patients. As the authors point out, the primary takeaway of the small increase in mortality risk with intubation “is less impactful for practice than the knowledge that there is no decrease in mortality risk” with intubation
Interestingly, a similar study was recently published by Jakob et al. in the Journal of Trauma and Acute Care Surgery, “Isolated traumatic brain injury: Routine intubation for Glasgow Coma Scale 7 or 8 may be harmful!”1, that I would urge you to read and compare. Besides the questionable use of logistic regression to control for complex confounders (see above explanation) resulting in questionably large treatment effects of non-intubation on survival and complications, I would like to point out one aspect of the manuscript submitted by Hatchimonji et al. that is subtly superior – the title. Just like the headshot of a fellowship application, an effective title encapsulates the essence of an article in terms of its content, goals, and tone. Effective scientific literature is not about edicts, definitive statements, or proclamations ending in exclamation marks. It’s about asking the right question in the right manner, and as Hatchimonji et al. have done well (starting with their title), leading the reader to their own conclusions.
1 Jakob DA, Lewis M, Benjamin ER, Demetriades D. Isolated traumatic brain injury: Routine intubation for Glasgow Coma Scale 7 or 8 may be harmful!. Journal of Trauma and Acute Care Surgery. 2021 May 1;90(5):874-9.